Daily on-chain analysis, macroeconomic intelligence, and AI signals from Lance Roberts, founder of UTXOMacro. 101 articles published.
October 4, 2026
The US added just 29,000 jobs in September, a third of the forecast, as the central bank prices three more rate hikes. Here is what the weakest labor print in three years means for monetary policy an…
October 4, 2026
Two of the most powerful people in AI are openly disagreeing on speed. Nvidia fell 3% when Amodei spoke. Here is what the safety-vs-acceleration fight means for AI valuations and Bitcoin.
October 2, 2026
Employment is above trend, GDP growth was revised higher, and consumers keep spending. Inflation is at a three-year high. The Fed is fighting an economy that refuses to slow, and October 28 may be th…
October 2, 2026
Oracle will buy $40B of Nvidia chips for OpenAI's Abilene, Texas Stargate data center. OpenAI's ARR hit nearly $70B in Q3, up 70%. B2B revenue doubled. The infrastructure is chasing the demand.
October 2, 2026
$148.7 million left bitcoin ETFs on October 1, ending a nine-day, $3.1 billion inflow streak. Fed hike odds at 47.1%. Whale wallets added 41,025 BTC in ten days. RSI14: 64.7.
September 18, 2026
Two of the most significant headwinds of 2026 hit Bitcoin within 72 hours of each other this week — and Bitcoin barely moved.
September 10, 2026
Brent is up 65% YTD after the US sank five Iranian tankers and Tehran vowed fiercer retaliation. Here is what the energy shock means for August CPI and the September 16 Fed decision.
September 10, 2026
Three FOMC members already voted to hike at July's meeting. September 16 breaks a five-meeting hold streak. But the dot plot, not the rate decision itself, will tell markets where this goes next.
September 10, 2026
Strategy put $176 million into preferred stock buybacks last week while its last Bitcoin purchase sits underwater. Here's what the capital allocation signals say about the buy-forever thesis.
September 7, 2026
$730.8M flowed into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs on September 3. IBIT captured 60%. Institutional buyers treated the outflow reversal as an entry, not a warning.
September 7, 2026
Nvidia's CEO declared AGI arrived, crediting GPT-6 Astra trained on 100,000+ GPUs. OpenAI did not use that word. The incentives diverge.
September 7, 2026
U.S. forces struck three Iranian crude carriers in the Strait of Hormuz. Brent hit $97.07, WTI $92.28. Iran vowed revenge. Markets have not priced a formal blockade.
September 5, 2026
Nvidia just paid $12.93B for Hugging Face, the platform most AI developers depend on. Jensen says it stays open. Here's why that promise gets harder to keep.
September 3, 2026
On August 25, Bitcoin staged the second-largest weekly surge in five years, liquidating $3.5 billion in shorts and collapsing open interest to a 5-month low. With a 66% probability of a Fed rate hike…
September 1, 2026
Bitcoin SOPR crossed 1.01 and Mean Coin Age hit 1.70K at cycle-accumulation levels. Three straight green Septembers are rewriting the worst month in crypto.
August 31, 2026
OpenAI's Jalapño chip beat Nvidia's Blackwell on inference efficiency August 26. What it means for Nvidia's margin trajectory, HBM memory suppliers, and the AI infrastructure trade.
August 31, 2026
US spot Bitcoin ETF assets crossed $101 billion this August while price sat flat at $78,507. A breakdown of the institutional signal, the on-chain counterpoint, and what Warsh's hawkish shift...
August 28, 2026
Bitcoin's mining network hit 1,000 EH/s as STH-SOPR sits at 0.8 in capitulation territory. Whale wallets added 54,400 BTC in two weeks. What the on-chain data says about whether selling is exhausted.
August 28, 2026
OpenAI received a subpoena for records on every employee involved in pre-incident AI testing. With two labs controlling 89% of AI revenues, what happens here reshapes the entire sector.
August 28, 2026
Marvell fell 7%+ in after-hours trading despite Nvidia's strong week and an intact AI capex cycle. Up 187% YTD going in. This is what happens when AI chip stocks price in perfection.